" In his Critique of Pure Reason, the German philosopher Immanuel Kant proposes betting as an antidote to one of the great ills of society: false confidence bred from an ignorance of the probabilistic nature of the world, from a desire to see black and white where we should rightly see gray. "

― Maria Konnikova , The Biggest Bluff: How I Learned to Pay Attention, Master Myself, and Win