" If our goal is to lose twenty pounds in six months, we can plan how to achieve that by imagining it’s six months from now and we’ve lost the weight. What are the things we did to lose the weight? How did we avoid junk food? How did we increase the amount of exercise we were doing? How did we stick to the regimen? "

― Annie Duke , Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts